Arup foresight; Arup foresight;



Arup Foresight specialise in identifying and analysing the major trends shaping the future of the built environment.

Arup Foresight specialise in identifying and analysing the major trends shaping the future of the built environment.

What is foresight?

Foresight describes a set of approaches, tools and skills that help organisations explore, envision and shape the future. By understanding key drivers of change and the implications of this change, Foresight aims to make a business or project ‘future-proof’. Key methodologies, including horizon scanning, trend research, scenario planning and visioning, are employed to map out our evolving future context and assess what trends are most relevant to us today.

Foresight aims to counter the risk of being short-sighted by developing people, capacity and skills that allow organisations to actively manage future trends and embed corporate foresight into business management, project delivery and strategy processes. ”

Chris Luebkeman Chris Luebkeman Global Foresight, Research and Innovation Leader

What do we do?

Arup Foresight are a multi-disciplinary team of consultants, designers and scientists. We work with Arup’s businesses and provide services to external clients from a broad range of sectors around the world.

We developed the concept of ‘foresight by design’, which uses innovative design tools and techniques to bring new ideas to life and engage clients and stakeholders in meaningful conversations about change. From envisioning the future of mail and parcel logistics to researching the future design and operation of a city district, Arup Foresight answer complex questions that require a broad and holistic look at the future.

Browse the tabs below to learn more about how we can help shape the future of your business.

Strategy and visioning

How can we future proof our structures, strategies and solutions?

Organisations and large projects need a common vision to ensure that different components and contributors can effectively work towards a common goal. We specialise in co-creating visions that provide the overall direction and framework for an organisation, project or initiative. These visions support strategy, collaboration, creative thinking, design innovation and leadership.

Find out more about Arup Foresight services

Insights and trends

How can we identify emerging risks and opportunities?

Our team scans a global network of sources for new trends, insights, and cutting-edge thinking. We analyse this and communicate what it could mean for a specific business, market, or project.

Our Inspire insights database supports the collection and communication of insights as part of a dedicated horizon scanning programme. We specialise in using this knowledge to identify the trends that are most important.

Explore our Inspire insights database

Scenario planning

How can we be better prepared for an uncertain future?

Scenarios are hypothetical illustrations of the future. They include qualitative and quantitative elements and are intentionally applied in multiples to show indeterminacy and possible alternatives. Scenarios allow us to understand complex systems and explore the way these may evolve over time. By challenging our tendency to favour ‘business as usual’, scenarios can help decision-makers frame their strategic thinking, and test and refine strategic options.

Find out more about Arup Foresight services

Future-proof design

How can we develop new business models and solutions?

We help companies to explore new opportunities for growth by breaking down visions and goals into clear strategic decision points. Building on the knowledge of Arup’s internal experts, we understand how a market is changing and where opportunities for growth and innovation can be found.

We examine the specific context of a project and how this will impact its future operation to ensure our designs are future-proof.

Find out more about Arup Foresight services

Drivers of change

How will global change impact the future of your business?

Our Drivers of Change programme investigates the key global issues and trends driving change in the built environment. From climate change to urbanisation to poverty, each set examines the top 25 drivers of change impacting our societies and markets.

The Drivers of Change cards help facilitate conversations about the future and are utilised globally in learning programmes, strategy workshops and innovation processes.

Explore Drivers of Change

We facilitate the future

Over the past decade we have helped clients from all over the world to rethink their business, identify future markets and develop new ideas. For example, our Cities Alive report looks at how a child-friendly approach to urban planning is vital for the creation of cities that work better for everyone.

The challenge is not to identify what is changing, but to understand the specific impacts that change has on a business, a market, or a project. Contextualising trends into business specific impacts requires a deep understanding of the unique processes, decision points and mindsets that futures thinking should influence from one project to the next. ”

Josef Hargrave Josef Hargrave Global Foresight Manager

Download the Foresight Advisory brochure

Our team has used their knowledge and insight to produce a range of publications, reports and tools examining the future of the built environment.

Publications, reports and tools from Arup Foresight

Big thinking

Our Foresight experts are leaders in their fields, bringing to life the big ideas that could help to shape the future.

Who are we?

Our Foresight team brings together a wide range of disciplines and skills, including experts with a background in design, rocket science, economics, social science, biology, physics and engineering. This allows us to take a holistic view of the future.

Chris Luebkeman

Dr Chris Luebkeman

Chris leads the global Foresight, Research and Innovation team at Arup. His interest in the built environment started early, propelling him into a multifaceted education, beginning with engineering and culminating in a Doctorate in Architecture from ETH in Zurich. While he refuses to be categorised, Chris views himself as a generalist with a view of being ‘in league with the future.’

Find out more about Chris

Josef Hargrave

Josef Hargrave

Josef is an Associate Director in Arup’s Foresight, Research and Innovation team. As Global Foresight Manager he is responsible for the delivery and management of Foresight services, tools and projects globally, including America, Australasia, East Asia, Europe and Middle East. His clients and collaborators include Arup businesses and leadership teams as well as external organisations from a broad range of sectors.

Find out more about Josef

Dr Anne Kovachevich

Dr Anne Kovachevich

With a background in hypersonics and sustainable building design and engineering, Anne brings technical expertise to her futures thinking. Anne leads our Australasia region and helps clients to understand the disruptions that are inevitably occurring and helps to empower them to make the most of the opportunities that arise.

Find out more about Anne

Francesca Birks

Francesca Birks

As the Americas Lead of Foresight, Research and Innovation, Francesca is responsible for delivering projects which promote strategic foresight and innovation in the design development process. An Associate in Arup’s New York office, Francesca is a strategist and certified facilitator with a background in media and advertising. She brings her understanding of ethnography, storytelling and strategic planning to help clients envision the future of their organisation.

Find out more about Francesca

Dr Jan Wurm

Dr Jan Wurm

Jan is committed to steer the transformation process so that clients will benefit from the opportunities of change. With a deep understanding of both construction systems and materials, and collaborative design and innovation processes, Jan is dedicated to deliver applied research in the field of sustainable building design. Jan is the Europe lead for Foresight, Research and Innovation.

Find out more about Jan

Alvise Simondetti

Alvise Simondetti

Alvise leads Arup’s global digital environments programme and is responsible for the business development of real-time synthetic environments. Alvise is formally educated in architecture, town planning, conservation and computation, and believes that successful design cannot be separated from tools.

Find out more about Alvise

Marcus Morrell

Marcus Morrell

Marcus leads Foresight in the UK, Middle East and Africa region. Marcus is responsible for helping clients anticipate change and manage uncertainty by exploring medium- and long-term futures with a focus on foresight, innovation and business or organisational strategy.

Find out more about Marcus

Yannick Lenormand

Yannick Lenormand

Yannick leads Foresight in the East Asia region. With a background in service design and product innovation, Yannick brings design thinking to his foresight projects. Yannick is dedicated to sustainable development and exploring how materials and technologies can help us create a resilient future.

Find out more about Yannick

Gereon Uerz

Gereon Uerz

Gereon leads the Arup Foresight and Innovation team in Europe. Gereon focuses on strategy and innovation projects with major clients from science and industry. He brings a new perspective to clients, empowering them to actively shape the future by defining a strong vision.

Find out more about Gereon

Foresight consulting

You can access our foresight services through regional consultants around the world. Wherever you’re based, we can help you look beyond your sector to explore new sources of inspiration and identify opportunities for growth.